Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.351049 17.319880 19.461765 21.967672 24.822546 27.977702 31.734534
2025-03-02 12.179161 14.730576 17.718525 21.486479 26.126182 31.671488 38.830037
2025-03-09 10.042145 12.911133 16.496842 21.331351 27.715954 35.909551 47.302483
2025-03-16 8.414758 11.429264 15.424587 21.149589 29.212085 40.264018 56.737793
2025-03-23 7.422630 10.605444 15.059522 21.815480 31.923387 46.673825 70.175654
2025-03-30 6.444238 9.636950 14.329811 21.826360 33.682394 52.013889 83.094461
2025-04-06 5.527482 8.612082 13.351622 21.287840 34.493352 56.029334 94.715190
2025-04-13 4.821321 7.801008 12.570812 20.915247 35.475914 60.444423 107.825342
2025-04-20 4.410713 7.400814 12.380373 21.470276 38.085684 68.019095 127.994009
2025-04-27 4.078262 7.080760 12.270856 22.134931 40.981700 76.581129 151.755360
2025-05-04 3.736641 6.695180 11.988601 22.433352 43.232755 84.308519 175.470063
2025-05-11 3.344560 6.165137 11.371299 21.999553 43.978875 89.193713 194.258272
2025-05-18 3.000427 5.689481 10.809756 21.626194 44.863488 94.687455 216.020945
2025-05-25 2.710660 5.281393 10.325044 21.337380 45.886956 100.695046 240.456586
2025-06-01 2.483927 4.969100 9.989267 21.310845 47.485638 108.305348 270.673787
2025-06-08 2.277909 4.672729 9.646748 21.217020 48.919367 115.822286 302.571132
2025-06-15 2.164989 4.556979 9.669309 21.948121 52.434728 129.088693 353.308564
2025-06-22 2.009429 4.329392 9.418262 22.002702 54.305295 138.592952 396.062486
2025-06-29 1.829842 4.026608 8.960116 21.488934 54.642058 144.144819 428.710703
2025-07-06 1.681074 3.775734 8.588809 21.132540 55.327860 150.784438 466.523015
2025-07-13 1.605299 3.685256 8.583067 21.707965 58.655049 165.599954 534.916384
2025-07-20 1.541163 3.614604 8.615874 22.390669 62.418521 182.529464 615.570912
2025-07-27 1.461375 3.496342 8.515898 22.699908 65.163149 196.978968 692.019755